Trading Overview
How to trade economic prediction markets on Trufonomics
How Trading Works
Trufonomics prediction markets let you take positions on economic outcomes. Each market has a binary or bracket structure, and shares trade between $0.00 and $1.00.
Real-time settlement
Markets settle against Truflation oracle data — no manual resolution, no disputes. Settlement runs automatically every 5 minutes.
Example
"Will US monthly inflation exceed 0.3% in March 2026?"
- Buy Yes shares at $0.65 if you think it will
- Buy No shares at $0.35 if you think it won't
- If you're right, your shares settle at $1.00
- If you're wrong, they settle at $0.00
Your profit = $1.00 - your entry price.
Market Types
Simple yes/no outcomes. One resolution event, two possible outcomes.
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Outcomes | Yes / No |
| Share price range | $0.00 — $1.00 |
| Settlement | Winner pays $1.00 |
| Tick size | $0.01 |
Multiple ranges for a single indicator. For example, "Where will inflation land?"
| Bracket | Example Range |
|---|---|
| Low | 0.0% — 0.2% |
| Mid-low | 0.2% — 0.4% |
| Mid-high | 0.4% — 0.6% |
| High | 0.6%+ |
Each bracket trades independently. Exactly one bracket settles at $1.00.
Fee Structure
| Fee Type | Rate | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Trading fee | 2% | On winning settlements |
| Maker rebate | 0% | No fee for limit orders |
| Withdrawal | 0% | Free collateral withdrawal |
Getting Started
Connect your wallet
Link your Web3 wallet to the Trufonomics platform.
Deposit collateral
Bridge ERC-20 tokens as collateral for trading.
Browse markets
Find markets on the Markets page. Filter by category, volume, or expiry.
Place orders
Submit limit orders via the on-chain orderbook. FIFO queue priority — position matters more than speed.